BRIDGE WALK NOTES


  • We do the Bridge-Walks on Saturday mornings assuming no rain or other commitments. We meet at 7:45 a.m. and begin walking to the Golden Gate Bridge at 8:00 a.m. It's okay to arrive late; you'll just have to catch up or meet us after the turn at Fort Point. 7:45 a.m. SFYC-Marina parking lot to GGB & return, assuming a decent weather forecast. This is a walk TO, not over, the bridge, and back.

  • Description: Unless otherwise noted, all walks proceed as follows: we begin at the parking lot shown as Yacht Road on Mapquest adjacent to the north end of the Marina Green next to the St. Francis Yacht Club. We meet at 7:45 a.m. and at 8:00 a.m. ambling towards the Golden Gate Bridge, which is about a mile-and-a-quarter away. If you're late, it's easy to catch up. The round trip takes about 1 1/4 to 1 1/2 hours. There are comfort stations at each end. Snacks and a bookstore are at the Warming Hut near the Bridge. Plenty of birds and boats to see along the way. Bring a friend or child, a camera or binoculars. Dress for wind and weather. Drizzles don't bother, rainstorms will cancel. We talk about something, nothing, birds, plants, boats, whatever, and if it relates to Con-Law, so much the better, but that's not required. We enjoy ourselves, basically, by getting fresh air and taking a more or less brisk walk, depending on what stops we make to smell the flowers or view a bird.

QUOTES

  • Choose a work that you love and you won't have to work another day. Confucius
  • A sound mind in a sound body under a sound Constitution, that's our motto. rs
  • The key to nearly everything is a competent investigation, which means one conducted with integrity, an attempt to see where you might be wrong. RS w/ thanks to RPF
  • The key to creating an illusory world is a biased selection of facts according to a preconceived notion. - Thomas Sowell
  • The past isn't dead, it's all around you... rs
  • The past isn't dead. It isn't even past. -- Wm. Faulkner
  • If Constitutional Law doesn't get your dander up, you're not getting it. -- R. Sheridan
  • The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, but remember, you are the easiest person to fool. -- Richard P. Feynman
  • No person shall be deprived of life, liberty, or property without due process of law. -- U.S. Constitution, Amends 5, 14
  • No freeman shall be taken, imprisoned,...or in any other way destroyed...except by the lawful judgment of his peers, or by the law of the land. - Magna Carta
  • The only thing new under the sun is the history you don't know. -- Harry S Truman
  • Study the past if you would divine the future. -- Confucius

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October 09, 2008

BATTERED DOWN PRESIDENT

Pres. George W. Bush is down to his last few months as president.  His successor is chosen the first Tuesday in November and is sworn in on January 20.  Such a president is called a lame duck.  There's not much left that he can do.

Pres. Bush is unpopular because the war he started against Iraq has proved costly, unproductive of any good to the country that we can see, and based on a false premise that Saddam had WMD.  Saddam no doubt had wanted his people and his neighbors to think he had WMD (nuclear, biological and chemical weapons) but it appears after the fact that he did not.  But, he was a bad guy, says Pres. Bush, and we're better off without him.  True, but we supported him when he was a bad guy who DID have, and use, chemical weapons against his own people and against Iran.  We liked Iran even less back then, in the 1970s.  In 1979 Iranian revolutionaries against the hated Shah stormed our embassy in Teheran and took hostage our diplomats, holding them for over 400 days.  So we supported Saddam.  Later we took him out.  Life on the big chessboard is rough.

Pres. Bush is also unpopular at home because of the failure of the administration to respond impressively, or at all, to Hurricane Katrina, when it devasted New Orleans, Mississippi, and the Gulf Coast extending to far inland.  "Attaboy Brownie, you're doing a helluva job," is what he told FEMA secretary Brown who hadn't a clue as to what he was supposed to be doing.  He became a laughingstock, as did the administration.

Bush has been smug and certain in his sense of his own rectitude.  The psychiatrists can try to figure out why he seemed impervious to criticism, correction, an ability to see the other side, apparently, and a sense that because we're the United States, what we do is automatically good, or so it seems.  It doesn't quite work that way in real life, emphasis on the real.

Every evening for years the David Letterman show has run a feature on President Bush, comparing his verbal presence to the likes of Pres. Franklin Delano Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy and Ronald Reagan as they made presidential pronouncements such as "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself" (FDR, Inaugural Address), and "Ask not what your country can do for you, but rather, what you can do for your country," (JFK Inaugural Address), and "Mr. Gorbachev, Tear down this wall." (RR, at the Berlin Wall).

Next would appear a clip of Bush saying something off-handed, mumbly, and not making a lot of sense.

As if more proof were needed, he appeared as a bumbler.

Not confidence inspiring at all.

To make it worse, his own presidency got off to a poor start, as there'd been a close election which was thrown into the Supreme Court to decide and they appointed him, not Al Gore.  Bush parlayed this Court victory into an election victory four years later when John Kerry was unable to unseat him, especially after being Swift-boated.

So, at the end of his eight year term economic disaster rolled over us like a tsunami and it came time for Bush to speak to the nation to dispel panic, project calmness, and restore confidence, he didn't have a lot of strength to work with.  He'd become the victim of a perfect storm, largely of his own making.

When, at last, he spoke out in favor of the $700 billion bailout bill, socialized medicine for Wall Street, the panic persisted.  Neither the president nor the bill he signed with bipartisan support seemed to have instant effect.  We'll have to wait a year or eighteen months, cautioned Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson.  That may be so, but it doesn't appear that we have eighteen months before the comet strikes.  And so we are left with the president's leadership and there doesn't seem to be any.  He'll be playing Hoover in contrast to Obama's FDR.  McCain's ship appears to be lagging behind Obama's fleet, sea-anchored to Bush as Hoover.  Hoover, of course, was the president on whose watch the Stock Market crashed in 1929 followed by panic and the Great Depression. 

Although a good man, Hoover stood at the head of a party (the GOP) more famous for representing the interests of large corporations and Wall Street than the concerns of the working stiff, of which America was largely made.  FDR swept him out in the 1932 election and inherited the Great Depression up until World War II produced a manufacturing frenzy which saved the world, along with the American fighting man, against Hitler and Emperor Hirohito after Pearl Harbor, and in the process, ending the Depression.  During the 'Fifties we knew unprecedented growth and prosperity.  Now this, an even greater crash and an even greater depression, if our fears materialize, and so far they don't seem to be going away any time soon, sad to say.

All of this seems, at last, to have effected Pres. Bush, so that when he speaks, we hear him, but do not respond.  He's the picture of powerlessness.

The article is below.

Bush Forced Into 'Diminished Role' in Economic Crisis

Bush Economic Outlook Turns Dour

By MARK MOONEY

Oct. 9, 2008 —

 

President Bush has tried to reassure Americans and the stock market that the U.S. economy will be all right, but the certainty of his words has steadily eroded in recent days and have had little impact -- at least any positive impact.

Bush's unease was strikingly on display Tuesday when he traveled to the Washington suburb of Chantilly, Va., to speak with small-business owners who sat on folding chairs in an office supply company to hear him explain what he was doing to restart the flow of credit.

After Bush spoke, one man explained to the president in an urgent tone that his $3.5 million business had just been told by his banker that it would be more expensive to roll over its $500,000 loan. The businessman told Bush he had to roll over that loan six or seven times a year to keep his company functioning. "That's how badly we need that credit," he told the president.

Moments later, when asked whether the $700 billion Wall Street bailout will work, the best Bush could tell them was, "It's the best shot we've got."

It was hardly a thundering vote of confidence.

His years of sunny optimism seem to have turned dour. He spoke as if Americans would have to hunker down and wait out the economic storm, and he sounded as powerless against it as if it were a meteorological event.

"I wish I could snap my fingers and make what happened stop but that's not the way it works," he told his audience.

"The days are dim right now for a lot of folks, but I firmly believe tomorrow's going to be brighter," Bush said at another point.

While Bush can still joke, at times the joshing is replaced with a wan smile.

"He's winding down and he's battered down," said Stu Rothenberg of the Rothenberg Report, which chronicles Washington politics and government.

Torie Clarke, an ABC News consultant and former Bush administration aide, said the president lacked the political muscle to play a larger role in the crisis.

"If it happened earlier in his administration, maybe he could play a different role," she said. "But his standing is so low, his role in this was diminished."

The president has made several appeals for confidence and calm in the economy, including two last week before the markets opened as his administration struggled to win approval of the massive rescue plan.

The timing of those early morning appearances was meant to reassure Wall Street and the credit markets that his administration was coming to their rescue, despite a rebellion by fellow Republicans in the House.

It was a moment of political chicken. Failure, he publicly admitted, could trigger the country's worst economic crisis since the Depression.

Wall Street Meltdown Was Bush's Economic 9/11

"Not since the terror attacks of 9/11 had his tone been so serious, his demeanor so grave," according to ABC News' Martha Raddatz, who has covered the Bush administration for nearly eight years. "He was not just reading a speech that had been handed to him. He was pleading."

"He talked of the 'pivotal moment' for our nation's economy, the 'urgency' needed in getting legislation passed. In the previous few months, the lame-duck president had worked far from the spotlight, but that morning the world was once again watching. With a gaze that did not wander and a deep chill in his voice, Bush tried to make them listen," Raddatz said.

If they listened, they shrugged off Bush's dire warning. Republicans in the House overwhelmingly rejected his bailout plan. It would be nearly another week and $100 billion more in "sweeteners" before Congress approved his legislative rescue package.

White House deputy press secretary Tony Fratto defended Bush's role in the economic crisis and the passage of the bailout package.

"It may be the single most important bill on the economy ever passed, and the president's leadership was largely responsible for that," Fratto said.

Like many presidents in their last months, Bush has visibly aged and has a thinner schedule than his first seven years in office. He hasn't held a news conference since July 15 and his spokeswoman says it's partly because he doesn't want to get entangled in the presidential race.

He is no longer the undisputed leader of the GOP. Administration officials check in with John McCain's campaign nearly every morning to walk through schedules and talking points to ensure the party message matches.

Bush was conspicuously absent as the dominoes in the credit crisis started to tumble with the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac takeover Sept. 7. Then Merrill Lynch was sold off Sept. 14. Lehman Brothers went bankrupt Sept. 15, and the federal government came up with a $85 billion rescue of American International Group Sept. 16. Markets became skittish, the ripples were growing ominously large and radiating around the globe.

But it wasn't until Sept. 18 and Sept. 19, that Bush addressed the growing crisis with brief statements at the White House before turning on his heels and departing without taking any questions.

"As the financial crisis was unfolding, he seemed really irrelevant," analyst Rothenberg said. "He was invisible, a force not to be reckoned with.

"You could almost say that the financial crisis was the economic version of 9/11," Rothenberg said. "When you think about 9/11 with George Bush, he was leading the country, he was rallying the country. With the economic crisis, it was [Treasury Secretary] Hank Paulson who was leading the charge, and that was odd. Usually the president is out there to engage the public."

Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia, called Bush "the lamest of lame ducks."

But he gave Bush some credit for eventually winning passage of the $700 billion rescue plan.

"Even for a popular president, it would be tough to move Congress on such a big-ticket item," he said.

Sabato said he would give Bush a grade of D "for letting this [problem] accumulate and explode, and a B for getting something done, along with others, when the need was obvious."

Clarke said she and others were also struck by the downbeat tone of Bush's comments in Virginia Tuesday, but credited them as a "pretty honest, straightforward answer by the president."

Bush Calls German Chancellor

His low profile during the crisis was likely dictated by his lame-duck status and low poll ratings.

What the president says has historically been able to affect the market, but the White House "recognizes his public value is probably limited. ... So I'm not surprised he's not out there every 20 minutes," Clarke said.

Privately, Bush has given "Paulson a lot of running room and a lot of free rein," which was a smart thing to do, Clarke said.

And the White House issued a statement Wednesday that Bush was working the phones with foreign leaders in an effort to contain the spreading crisis.

"President Bush called German Chancellor [Angela] Merkel this afternoon to discuss the various measures that the United States is taking to bring stability to the markets, as well as the importance for all countries to work together to coordinate our actions to address problems facing the global economy," White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said.

Clarke, who was a spokeswoman at the Pentagon in the Bush administration, said she would have done things differently if she were advising the White House.

"Public officials, especially in difficult times, should be very visible and very transparent about what they're doing," she said. "Sort of the 21st century version of Roosevelt's fireside chats."

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